PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

d5fg2df4g

0x0657ac0c2253c6b9a0eb47352caf5fcdc83c2b79

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$48.1k
Markets traded
360
Open portfolio
$243.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded360
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.5400.715$35.75+$8.75
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No0.5400.705$35.25+$8.25
Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? · No0.8800.960$19.20+$1.60
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · No0.8700.919$18.38+$0.98
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.915$18.30+$0.50
Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? · No0.8800.860$17.20−$0.40
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? · No0.8800.855$17.10−$0.50
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? · No0.7000.800$16.00+$2.00
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5300.595$11.90+$1.30
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3310.431$8.63+$2.01
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.5500.385$7.70−$3.30
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.4900.150$7.50−$17.00
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4600.355$7.10−$2.10
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? · Yes0.2400.130$6.50−$5.50
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes0.2000.115$2.30−$1.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 20:21Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.17$0.35
08-21 17:38Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.67$11.39
08-20 07:15Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.2135$4.27
08-20 07:15Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?SELL0.89$17.80
08-19 03:22Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?SELL0.1$2.00
08-19 03:22Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.39$7.80
08-19 03:22Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 19?SELL0.5675$11.35
08-19 03:22U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?SELL0.76$15.20
08-18 04:01Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 18?SELL0.304$6.08
08-18 04:01Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?SELL0.505$10.10
08-18 04:01Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 18?SELL0.72$14.40
08-18 04:01Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 18?SELL0.72$14.40
08-18 04:01Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 19?SELL0.74$14.80
08-18 04:01Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.77$15.40
08-17 08:47Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 18?SELL0.35$4.26