d5fg2df4g
0x0657ac0c2253c6b9a0eb47352caf5fcdc83c2b79
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $48.1k
- Markets traded
- 360
- Open portfolio
- $243.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded360
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.00at 0.710Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?
- +$17.50at 0.650Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
- +$11.44at 0.310Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$9.40at 0.530US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$8.80at 0.560Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 20:21 | Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.35 |
| 08-21 17:38 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.67 | $11.39 |
| 08-20 07:15 | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.2135 | $4.27 |
| 08-20 07:15 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 08-19 03:22 | Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 03:22 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 08-19 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.5675 | $11.35 |
| 08-19 03:22 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 08-18 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 18? | SELL | 0.304 | $6.08 |
| 08-18 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18? | SELL | 0.505 | $10.10 |
| 08-18 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 18? | SELL | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 08-18 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 18? | SELL | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 08-18 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 08-18 04:01 | Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 08-17 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 18? | SELL | 0.35 | $4.26 |