0x05b2d7a14cb079256cd23457e0468c24b98cc70d
0x05b2d7a14cb079256cd23457e0468c24b98cc70d
- Realised P&L
- $-28.42
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 583
- Open portfolio
- $152.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded583
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.24at 0.217Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$6.04at 0.165Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$5.20at 0.187Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$4.82at 0.427Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$4.03at 0.230Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.9849999917 | $1.19 |
| 11-01 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on November 2? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.82 |
| 10-30 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.48 |
| 10-29 00:43 | Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth <-0.5%? | BUY | 0.7869999444 | $1.33 |
| 10-28 20:28 | Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.7789999588 | $1.19 |
| 10-28 20:07 | Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.98 |
| 10-27 16:31 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.9969999992 | $1.19 |
| 10-26 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28? | BUY | 0.5899998413 | $1.19 |
| 10-26 19:39 | Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.98 |
| 10-26 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 27? | BUY | 0.7899999203 | $1.19 |
| 10-26 03:39 | Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? | BUY | 0.8039999688 | $1.75 |
| 10-20 18:37 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%? | BUY | 0.429999912 | $1.71 |
| 10-18 16:49 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.9969999992 | $1.19 |
| 10-17 03:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.9989993217 | $1.19 |
| 10-16 16:33 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.9939999967 | $1.19 |