PolyBot

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Traders

0x056812df6e07aa4bf2e591a448b4ed3e6de12cfa

Realised P&L
$10.95
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$39.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes0.3000.465$7.75+$2.75
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · Yes0.3800.295$3.88$1.12
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3300.255$3.86$1.14
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.3000.225$3.75$1.25
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0410.025$3.10$1.90
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1300.080$3.08$1.92
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.055$2.75$2.25
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.0720.037$2.60$2.40
OPEC dissolves in 2026? · Yes0.1100.055$2.50$2.50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1080.040$1.83$3.17
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.4890.174$1.78$3.22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2700.095$1.76$3.24
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.3400.315$0.93$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 15:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.77$8.02
08-04 15:56US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?SELL0.5133290653$8.02
07-31 13:59Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.33999983$1.00
07-19 12:25Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0749999325$1.00
07-15 15:27US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.4799999808$5.00
07-14 15:41US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?BUY0.32$5.00
07-13 19:02US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?BUY0.84$1.00
07-13 18:220 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?SELL0.1905846334$4.89
07-11 22:20Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?BUY0.75$1.00
07-10 20:15Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?BUY0.8$1.00
07-09 21:20Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?BUY0.7619999939$2.00
07-09 07:33Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
07-07 21:08Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?BUY0.719999856$1.00
07-07 17:33Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?BUY0.702$1.00
07-07 17:20Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?BUY0.792999866$1.00