kageri
0x053f319e8f0d67f3eb461727f7461f2cb8601c5c
- Realised P&L
- $-189.69
- Volume
- $24.1k
- Markets traded
- 2,636
- Open portfolio
- $63.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,636
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.32at 0.383Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
- +$17.21at 0.626Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
- +$16.13at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$15.73at 0.377Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
- +$14.57at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 20:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:25 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8459993537 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 17:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 17:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 15:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $0.11 |
| 10-08 15:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.939999812 | $1.00 |