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Traders

kageri

0x053f319e8f0d67f3eb461727f7461f2cb8601c5c

Realised P&L
$-50.70
Volume
$21.9k
Markets traded
2,227
Open portfolio
$93.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,227
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3280.227$23.53$10.47
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6960.700$11.06+$0.06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3900.625$8.01+$3.01
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0510.052$7.27+$0.27
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.4400.315$7.16$2.84
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · No0.7800.947$6.07+$1.07
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5200.513$4.94$0.06
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0280.018$2.54$1.46
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1000.240$2.40+$1.40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9? · Yes0.4100.951$2.32+$1.32
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0500.074$1.49+$0.49
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0990.070$1.41$0.59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4200.115$1.37$3.63
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? · Yes0.7100.910$1.28+$0.28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1230.075$1.22$0.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 07:28Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.84$1.00
08-09 07:17Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETBUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-08 16:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.8299999087$1.00
08-08 16:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
08-08 16:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.9299999953$10.00
08-08 16:12Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.64$1.00
08-08 16:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-08 16:05Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 9?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
08-08 16:05Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 9?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
08-08 16:05Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?BUY0.0925925926$1.00
08-08 16:05Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 9?BUY0.0066727608$1.00
08-08 16:05Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 9?BUY0.0085331513$1.00
08-08 16:04Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 9?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-08 16:04Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 9?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
08-08 16:01Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 9?BUY0.1619046416$1.00