Frigg
0x05374492e37f036fb751d708fe487aeca60b5b0f
- Realised P&L
- $55.7k
- Volume
- $23.78M
- Markets traded
- 921
- Open portfolio
- $779.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded921
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.015 | $348.59 | +$94.09 |
| Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.346 | 0.345 | $167.98 | −$0.56 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.228 | 0.265 | $132.50 | +$18.37 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.182 | 0.225 | $112.26 | +$21.13 |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.181 | $18.15 | +$1.20 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$416.4kat 0.033Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$313.0kat 0.013Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$280.5kat 0.090Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$274.0kat 0.130Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
- +$178.1kat 0.007No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:07 | Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.35 | $105.00 |
| 09-16 17:51 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.015 | $23.55 |
| 09-16 15:03 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.28 | $70.00 |
| 09-16 14:05 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.016 | $3.12 |
| 09-16 10:31 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 08:24 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 23:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.009 | $45.00 |
| 09-15 20:50 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 20:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.009 | $13.50 |
| 09-14 14:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 14:15 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.16 | $220.79 |
| 09-13 13:21 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $6.00 |
| 09-13 13:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.006 | $12.00 |
| 09-11 12:38 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 12:38 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.004 | $4.00 |