0x052E2708Da042f8b5BC965496296fA4A6CEbA23F-1776002072098
0x052e2708da042f8b5bc965496296fa4a6ceba23f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $50.9k
- Markets traded
- 665
- Open portfolio
- $354.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded665
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.35at 0.354Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$98.55at 0.172Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$58.95at 0.263Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
- +$54.30at 0.223Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
- +$45.47at 0.021Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 20:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 22:30 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 22:46 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 10-26 20:54 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 10-23 13:38 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.749 | $9.73 |
| 10-23 13:34 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.7453492994 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 03:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 03:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 03:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 03:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 20:04 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 23:03 | Will Netflix say "World Cup" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 22:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 22:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 22:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |