robszm
0x04ba214f93320e3adc278dcfec86386bc738bb60
- Realised P&L
- $29.90
- Volume
- $438.80
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $84.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.46at 0.282Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.37at 0.133 Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 19:24 | Will the Democrats win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $3.87 |
| 10-07 14:45 | Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $10.34 |
| 10-06 12:18 | Will the Republicans win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.21 |
| 10-05 14:52 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $20.58 |
| 10-05 14:51 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $3.78 |
| 10-05 12:35 | Will the Republicans win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1051219512 | $4.31 |
| 10-04 16:28 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election? | BUY | 0.41 | $5.74 |
| 10-03 23:17 | Will the Democrats win Grand Traverse County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999789 | $6.66 |
| 10-03 17:17 | Will the Republicans win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 10-03 17:16 | Will the Republicans win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 10-01 17:55 | Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.65 |
| 09-30 23:29 | Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $4.76 |
| 09-27 13:38 | Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.06 |
| 09-27 11:56 | Will "Unabomber" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-26 13:02 | Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |