0x04a8bc75948f6cb04a520cb405b03c58c4ccfde8
0x04a8bc75948f6cb04a520cb405b03c58c4ccfde8
- Realised P&L
- $-424.05
- Volume
- $79.5k
- Markets traded
- 194
- Open portfolio
- $27.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded194
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.015 | $10.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.007 | $8.98 | −$1.02 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.017 | $4.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.004 | $3.75 | −$1.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$784.26at 0.209Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
- +$621.26at 0.134Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
- +$413.16at 0.313Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
- +$246.04at 0.357Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
- +$211.16at 0.188Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 10:26 | BNB Up or Down - September 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0297459694 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:26 | BNB Up or Down - September 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:21 | XRP Up or Down - September 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $3.28 |
| 09-30 10:19 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 10:19 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 10:17 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.014 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 10:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.0083480197 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 09:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 05:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 05:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 05:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 05:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | SELL | 0.68 | $2.52 |
| 09-04 05:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 05:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 15:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |