PolyBot

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Traders

0x04a8bc75948f6cb04a520cb405b03c58c4ccfde8

0x04a8bc75948f6cb04a520cb405b03c58c4ccfde8

Realised P&L
$-424.05
Volume
$79.5k
Markets traded
194
Open portfolio
$27.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded194
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0140.015$10.36+$0.36
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.0080.007$8.98−$1.02
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0180.017$4.58−$0.42
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0060.004$3.75−$1.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 10:26BNB Up or Down - September 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.0297459694$1.00
09-30 10:26BNB Up or Down - September 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETBUY0.0599999988$1.00
09-30 10:21XRP Up or Down - September 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETBUY0.05$3.28
09-30 10:19Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.018$5.00
09-30 10:19Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.006$5.00
09-30 10:17Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.014$10.00
09-30 10:12Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.0083480197$10.00
09-30 09:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5AM ETBUY0.002$2.00
09-04 05:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETBUY0.1099999032$1.00
09-04 05:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETBUY0.1199998992$1.00
09-04 05:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-04 05:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETSELL0.68$2.52
09-04 05:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETBUY0.2699998542$1.00
09-04 05:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETBUY0.08$1.00
09-03 15:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.059999946$1.00