Zae6ali
0x04a3aef983f9143accbe6d5e493c7b7797ec7fea
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $74.5k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $243.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$418.37at 0.476US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$273.05at 0.159Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$220.91at 0.476US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$157.74at 0.250Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
- +$132.91at 0.180Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 08-01 19:47 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.63 | $0.63 |
| 06-27 21:14 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 06-27 21:14 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 21:14 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 21:13 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.341999986 | $15.00 |
| 06-27 21:13 | Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.2573007761 | $27.19 |
| 06-27 21:09 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.1879120573 | $4.50 |
| 06-27 21:08 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 06-27 21:07 | Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 21:06 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1619047397 | $5.00 |
| 06-07 18:59 | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY | 0.4161274106 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 01:16 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 01:10 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 01:08 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.3499999891 | $17.60 |