PolyBot

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Traders

Zae6ali

0x04a3aef983f9143accbe6d5e493c7b7797ec7fea

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$74.5k
Markets traded
182
Open portfolio
$243.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded182
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.3830.645$100.52+$40.90
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.3770.205$52.84−$44.45
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes0.2670.033$24.31−$175.69
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1760.055$19.78−$43.67
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2390.045$13.33−$56.67
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No0.2200.061$9.71−$25.29
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.3260.155$7.05−$7.78
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3100.175$5.65−$4.35
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0080.003$3.64−$5.87
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? · Yes0.0560.026$2.33−$2.67
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2020.049$1.70−$5.30
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? · Yes0.6500.085$1.31−$8.69
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? · Yes0.0660.013$0.95−$4.05
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.028$0.88−$4.13
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2940.000$0.00−$173.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 19:49Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.3$1.50
08-01 19:47Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.63$0.63
06-27 21:14Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999422$2.00
06-27 21:14Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.32$5.00
06-27 21:14Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.32$5.00
06-27 21:13Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.341999986$15.00
06-27 21:13Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.2573007761$27.19
06-27 21:09Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.1879120573$4.50
06-27 21:08Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
06-27 21:07Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$5.00
06-27 21:06Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1619047397$5.00
06-07 18:59Iran closes its airspace by June 8?BUY0.4161274106$10.00
05-17 01:16Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
05-17 01:10Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
05-17 01:08Iran closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.3499999891$17.60