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Traders

0x04589a20a601a709e5c09a3bea8322f4ec19a875

0x04589a20a601a709e5c09a3bea8322f4ec19a875

Realised P&L
$-570.32
Volume
$18.0k
Markets traded
119
Open portfolio
$257.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded119
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4900.625$64.15+$13.86
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3000.305$30.50+$0.50
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1800.185$25.69+$0.69
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? · Yes0.3100.165$24.75−$21.75
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1150.098$21.56−$3.74
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? · Yes0.2500.200$19.97−$5.03
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.5600.245$17.79−$22.88
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.2300.205$15.38−$1.87
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.0790.068$12.82−$2.18
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1300.145$11.15+$1.15
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes0.6000.274$5.48−$6.52
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? · Yes0.2300.058$4.98−$14.77
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? · Yes0.1070.022$3.07−$11.93
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.0500.004$0.45−$4.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 16:10WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 15?BUY0.124$14.26
10-11 12:322026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseSELL0.7$22.22
10-11 01:04US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.86$23.19
10-09 09:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?SELL0.81$40.50
10-08 11:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?SELL0.93$13.95
10-07 18:47Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?SELL0.056$3.50
10-07 18:46Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.514$18.11
10-07 18:46Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?SELL0.25$33.93
10-07 18:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.84$24.00
10-07 12:31Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be less than 140?SELL0.02$0.23
10-07 12:31Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.05$5.56
10-07 12:30Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.0219366192$3.25
10-07 12:30Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.0765316786$4.69
10-07 12:28Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 7?SELL0.95$11.40
10-07 04:49Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego PadresSELL0.84$14.99
Trader 0x04589a20a601a709e5c09a3bea8322f4ec19a875 · PolyBot Pro