0x04589a20a601a709e5c09a3bea8322f4ec19a875
0x04589a20a601a709e5c09a3bea8322f4ec19a875
- Realised P&L
- $-570.32
- Volume
- $18.0k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $257.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.46at 0.159Will Solana reach $110 in August?
- +$73.33at 0.261Pete Crow-Armstrong: Home Runs O/U 0.5
- +$52.47at 0.166Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 0.5
- +$52.37at 0.329Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
- +$45.55at 0.241WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 16:10 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 15? | BUY | 0.124 | $14.26 |
| 10-11 12:32 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.7 | $22.22 |
| 10-11 01:04 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $23.19 |
| 10-09 09:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9? | SELL | 0.81 | $40.50 |
| 10-08 11:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8? | SELL | 0.93 | $13.95 |
| 10-07 18:47 | Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | SELL | 0.056 | $3.50 |
| 10-07 18:46 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.514 | $18.11 |
| 10-07 18:46 | Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.25 | $33.93 |
| 10-07 18:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.84 | $24.00 |
| 10-07 12:31 | Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be less than 140? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.23 |
| 10-07 12:31 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.56 |
| 10-07 12:30 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0219366192 | $3.25 |
| 10-07 12:30 | Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.0765316786 | $4.69 |
| 10-07 12:28 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 7? | SELL | 0.95 | $11.40 |
| 10-07 04:49 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | SELL | 0.84 | $14.99 |