PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

steevo

0x04378e731c56dc13abe5f0e1bc53549caf4730f4

Realised P&L
$-6.4k
Volume
$383.4k
Markets traded
616
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded616
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9100.945$1.9k+$70.00
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9450.991$1.1k+$50.16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5800.565$777.27$20.78
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.7300.625$266.55$44.78
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.4040.355$177.50$24.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.7501.000$99.95+$24.95
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7810.887$87.84+$10.54
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · No0.8800.865$81.23$1.41
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9? · Yes0.9001.000$65.17+$6.52
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · Yes0.9200.880$44.00$2.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? · Yes0.8900.860$40.33$1.41
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · No0.8430.887$38.40+$1.92
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7500.855$32.39+$3.98
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · No0.5290.394$29.40$10.12
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.5200.905$22.34+$9.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 05:59Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?SELL0.62$23.08
08-03 05:15Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.288$0.49
08-03 04:51Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?SELL0.62$9.16
08-03 04:30Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?SELL0.62$3.10
08-03 03:15Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?SELL0.62$18.47
08-02 19:02Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.2980515954$13.17
08-02 18:06Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.58$798.05
07-30 10:21Will Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.31$1.55
07-30 09:24Will Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.31$1.55
07-30 05:34Will Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.3082499125$8.81
07-30 05:29Will Trump’s remarks not air?BUY0.969$4.31
07-29 18:53Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?SELL0.79$1.45
07-29 18:45Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?SELL0.986$7.18
07-29 18:27Will Trump say "Rebuild" during Announcement with the Secretary of Transportation?BUY0.77$1.49
07-29 18:27Will Trump say "Rebuild" during Announcement with the Secretary of Transportation?BUY0.763384785$6.92