PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

timmmey

0x0428895c4c26e0dcb3502e29496d9d92f85a228e

Realised P&L
$-39.40
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$50.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? · Yes0.1200.155$19.38+$4.38
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.225$9.00+$3.00
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1800.235$6.53+$1.53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3000.355$5.92+$0.92
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · Yes0.1700.120$3.53−$1.47
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? · No0.3300.510$3.09+$1.09
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.036$1.44−$4.56
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? · Yes0.0800.035$1.33−$1.67
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 15? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$5.45
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Up0.0150.000$0.00−$10.00
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00−$3.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 05:09Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.0779999989$3.00
09-15 05:09Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.023646485$2.00
09-14 21:03Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?BUY0.0018743528$2.00
09-14 20:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
09-14 20:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.0299999999$5.00
09-14 20:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 15?BUY0.003$5.00
09-14 20:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15?BUY0.3019999889$5.00
09-08 00:50Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.0492898642$5.45
09-08 00:50Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.0295698923$5.00
09-08 00:49Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.299999994$5.00
09-08 00:48Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$6.00
09-08 00:47AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1799999986$5.00
09-08 00:45Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?BUY0.3299999489$2.00
09-08 00:44Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$6.00
09-08 00:43Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?BUY0.08$3.00