PolyBot

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Traders

rontro28

0x033025f6cede59b115a49446d0208586ba47eb8f

Realised P&L
$6.1k
Volume
$878.0k
Markets traded
697
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded697
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.935$514.25+$13.75
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.785$401.14+$2.56
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.885$265.49+$40.50
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1270.160$160.42+$32.62
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · No0.3620.360$81.96−$0.42
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.4130.620$64.44+$21.55
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1000.095$57.00−$3.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes0.2400.235$23.50−$0.50
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0240.001$0.96−$45.95
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0200.001$0.26−$10.14
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0140.001$0.05−$1.35
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$120.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$27.00
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$32.80
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$145.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 00:03Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.37$15.51
09-27 00:02Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.36$66.87
09-26 23:46Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.78$398.58
09-24 13:50Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026?SELL0.15$12.00
09-24 11:56Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1282450307$138.84
09-24 11:03Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$5.31
09-23 21:21Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.42$39.59
09-20 17:40Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.64$19.56
09-20 17:39Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.69$273.05
09-20 17:35Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.27$1.43
09-20 17:33Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.429952381$90.29
09-20 17:32Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.43$21.50
09-20 17:17Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.729$72.90
09-18 09:23Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.57$57.00
09-17 19:59Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.44$176.00