rontro28
0x033025f6cede59b115a49446d0208586ba47eb8f
- Realised P&L
- $6.1k
- Volume
- $878.0k
- Markets traded
- 697
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded697
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$871.22at 0.869Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
- +$862.06at 0.073Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 28?
- +$853.78at 0.925Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$631.03at 0.015Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?
- +$513.62at 0.224Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 00:03 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | BUY | 0.37 | $15.51 |
| 09-27 00:02 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $66.87 |
| 09-26 23:46 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $398.58 |
| 09-24 13:50 | Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $12.00 |
| 09-24 11:56 | Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1282450307 | $138.84 |
| 09-24 11:03 | Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.31 |
| 09-23 21:21 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.42 | $39.59 |
| 09-20 17:40 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $19.56 |
| 09-20 17:39 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.69 | $273.05 |
| 09-20 17:35 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.43 |
| 09-20 17:33 | Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.429952381 | $90.29 |
| 09-20 17:32 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.43 | $21.50 |
| 09-20 17:17 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.729 | $72.90 |
| 09-18 09:23 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 09-17 19:59 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.44 | $176.00 |