wargosh3
0x02c4b7d04931ddf2d4af5f679727086a3340590e
- Realised P&L
- $-80.84
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 471
- Open portfolio
- $17.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded471
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.84at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$2.52at 0.294Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
- +$2.47at 0.447Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
- +$2.31at 0.617Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
- +$2.11at 0.567Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 20:57 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.0169999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:56 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1339999922 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:53 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:51 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:48 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3839999508 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:48 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:47 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:47 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1829999958 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:47 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:45 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:45 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:43 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:43 | Democratic Senate odds <60% on September 25? | BUY | 0.1329999999 | $1.00 |