Tyatsmr
0x02988e03673a3f31d269c8ae735971dcd7a993c4
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Markets traded
- 697
- Open portfolio
- $6.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded697
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.5kat 0.130US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$5.2kat 0.201Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$4.4kat 0.381Ravens vs. Steelers
- +$3.1kat 0.235US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.597Will the Patriots make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 23:29 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.39 | $210.18 |
| 10-02 16:08 | Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? | BUY | 0.4166167231 | $525.81 |
| 10-02 16:04 | Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election? | BUY | 0.4172727273 | $183.60 |
| 10-02 13:09 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | BUY | 0.13 | $39.65 |
| 10-01 21:24 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.51 | $58.14 |
| 10-01 13:33 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4686716003 | $1.2k |
| 09-30 23:43 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.46 | $363.85 |
| 08-12 21:56 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? | BUY | 0.119 | $87.70 |
| 08-12 21:56 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? | BUY | 0.119 | $93.26 |
| 07-19 16:26 | Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.8056931542 | $1.0k |
| 07-18 20:10 | Will the announcers say "Bench" or "Benches" 7+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.6004580153 | $314.64 |
| 07-18 17:41 | Will the announcers say "Tom Cruise" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.374717771 | $166.49 |
| 07-18 17:39 | Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.35 | $59.92 |
| 07-18 17:39 | Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.72 | $719.99 |
| 07-18 17:38 | Will the announcers say "Bronze" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.2694390846 | $48.04 |