xmilky
0x027ae8322f88ed3c97aa70b7f539ef618aac6f2e
- Realised P&L
- $-119.78
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $22.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.08at 0.666Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?
- +$23.83at 0.480US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$8.55at 0.260Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
- +$7.96at 0.727Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
- +$7.87at 0.854Will Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 10:51 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 10:50 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.299999986 | $12.82 |
| 03-16 11:49 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $5.97 |
| 03-06 08:41 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.2299999969 | $53.75 |
| 03-03 09:48 | Will Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during meetings with Chancellor Merz? | BUY | 0.8535010325 | $45.86 |
| 02-23 14:08 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | BUY | 0.5599999757 | $9.23 |
| 02-23 14:07 | Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 02-23 14:07 | Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 02-23 14:06 | Will Trump say "Too Late" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 02-23 14:06 | Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |
| 02-20 10:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999932 | $20.82 |
| 02-20 10:15 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $21.23 |
| 02-16 12:25 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17? | BUY | 0.7371869438 | $12.73 |
| 02-16 12:25 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL | 0.04 | $12.70 |
| 02-09 17:45 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999905 | $18.65 |