PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xmilky

0x027ae8322f88ed3c97aa70b7f539ef618aac6f2e

Realised P&L
$-119.78
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$22.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.021$8.27−$41.73
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3000.165$7.05−$5.77
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? · Yes0.1500.045$6.00−$14.00
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2600.013$1.47−$29.18
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17? · Up0.7370.000$0.00−$12.73
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address? · Yes0.8400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the US strike Venezuela next? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$53.75
Will Trump say "Too Late" during the 2026 State of the Union address? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026? · No0.0730.000$0.00−$20.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 10:51Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
07-24 10:50Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.299999986$12.82
03-16 11:49Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?SELL0.32$5.97
03-06 08:41Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.2299999969$53.75
03-03 09:48Will Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY0.8535010325$45.86
02-23 14:08US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?BUY0.5599999757$9.23
02-23 14:07Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.2799999731$5.00
02-23 14:07Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.6499999675$5.00
02-23 14:06Will Trump say "Too Late" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.4599999595$5.00
02-23 14:06Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.84$5.00
02-20 10:16Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.7199999932$20.82
02-20 10:15Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?SELL0.4$21.23
02-16 12:25S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?BUY0.7371869438$12.73
02-16 12:25Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?SELL0.04$12.70
02-09 17:45Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?BUY0.2599999905$18.65