kandinsky
0x0218c0a9bce8ce3e67d5b49550d3840c202d52c0
- Realised P&L
- $-6.4k
- Volume
- $2.23M
- Markets traded
- 1,067
- Open portfolio
- $89.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,067
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.004Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?
- +$1.5kat 0.014Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?
- +$769.99at 0.125Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
- +$592.20at 0.210Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
- +$559.71at 0.337Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 01:01 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5974999939 | $22.48 |
| 07-13 21:54 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.597499993 | $25.00 |
| 07-13 02:27 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2049999874 | $11.00 |
| 07-12 03:03 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7474999968 | $17.00 |
| 07-04 21:11 | Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.6699999996 | $62.00 |
| 07-04 21:09 | Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.669999995 | $40.00 |
| 07-04 21:03 | France leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 07-04 21:02 | France leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.5899999894 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 21:02 | Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 19:26 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3479999937 | $18.00 |
| 07-04 17:58 | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 17:58 | Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 17:58 | Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 05:35 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3439999862 | $15.00 |
| 07-04 05:32 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3439999939 | $20.00 |