PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

kandinsky

0x0218c0a9bce8ce3e67d5b49550d3840c202d52c0

Realised P&L
$-6.4k
Volume
$2.23M
Markets traded
1,067
Open portfolio
$89.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,067
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration61.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? · Yes0.0060.004$34.19$21.06
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0360.024$26.42$13.64
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2050.159$8.50$2.50
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0090.009$7.80$0.46
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0250.023$4.60$0.40
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$3.30$2.10
Will Donald Trump visit Maine in 2026? · Yes0.3000.460$2.30+$0.80
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5200.460$0.88$0.12
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1000.065$0.65$0.35
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? · Yes0.0180.004$0.60$2.10
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0430.019$0.45$0.55
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1710.011$0.07$0.93
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0240.002$0.06$0.94
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0250.002$0.06$0.94
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0260.002$0.06$0.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 01:01France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5974999939$22.48
07-13 21:54France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.597499993$25.00
07-13 02:27Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.2049999874$11.00
07-12 03:03Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7474999968$17.00
07-04 21:11Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.6699999996$62.00
07-04 21:09Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.669999995$40.00
07-04 21:03France leading at halftime?BUY0.6$30.00
07-04 21:02France leading at halftime?BUY0.5899999894$20.00
07-04 21:02Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?BUY0.08$5.00
07-04 19:26Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3479999937$18.00
07-04 17:58Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
07-04 17:58Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4199999832$5.00
07-04 17:58Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4199999832$5.00
07-04 05:35Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3439999862$15.00
07-04 05:32Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3439999939$20.00