BigDon
0x01ca683a887185388a7f181bff270e3405f2708e
- Realised P&L
- $-257.19
- Volume
- $39.0k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $230.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$270.68at 0.034Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$95.86at 0.343Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$70.00at 0.300Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
- +$39.17at 0.338U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$6.08at 0.649Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 08:39 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | BUY | 0.0257797659 | $19.00 |
| 09-11 08:37 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 08:18 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 08:17 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1415094333 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 08:14 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December? | BUY | 0.0771483402 | $30.00 |
| 09-11 08:14 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November? | BUY | 0.0592314715 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 08:13 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? | BUY | 0.059435364 | $20.00 |
| 08-05 03:53 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.6699999915 | $15.00 |
| 08-05 03:52 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0177644435 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 10:58 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0389999963 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 10:57 | Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | BUY | 0.12 | $30.00 |
| 07-30 09:42 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.3379999924 | $20.00 |
| 07-30 09:38 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.0970000005 | $20.00 |
| 07-30 06:27 | Israel military action against Yemen by July 31? | BUY | 0.0299718864 | $20.00 |
| 07-30 06:23 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $82.11 |