PolyBot

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Traders

BigDon

0x01ca683a887185388a7f181bff270e3405f2708e

Realised P&L
$-257.19
Volume
$39.0k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$230.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1200.115$47.92$2.08
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? · Yes0.1020.063$42.97$27.03
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December? · Yes0.0770.075$29.16$0.84
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November? · Yes0.0910.036$27.76$42.24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0800.100$25.00+$5.00
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1410.135$19.08$0.92
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0970.080$16.39$3.61
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? · Yes0.1200.045$11.25$18.75
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0100.005$5.50$4.50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0240.004$3.00$17.80
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? · Yes0.0260.003$2.21$16.79
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$40.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? · No0.0700.000$0.00$20.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$30.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 08:39Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?BUY0.0257797659$19.00
09-11 08:37US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.08$20.00
09-11 08:18Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.01$10.00
09-11 08:17Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1415094333$20.00
09-11 08:14Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?BUY0.0771483402$30.00
09-11 08:14Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?BUY0.0592314715$20.00
09-11 08:13Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?BUY0.059435364$20.00
08-05 03:53US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?BUY0.6699999915$15.00
08-05 03:52US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.0177644435$20.00
08-04 10:58US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.0389999963$10.00
08-04 10:57Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?BUY0.12$30.00
07-30 09:42U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.3379999924$20.00
07-30 09:38Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?BUY0.0970000005$20.00
07-30 06:27Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?BUY0.0299718864$20.00
07-30 06:23Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.71$82.11