0x0186993F06c0304eA5Ab154D7D9F01EC02942429-1775129017591
0x0186993f06c0304ea5ab154d7d9f01ec02942429
- Realised P&L
- $33.74
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Markets traded
- 214
- Open portfolio
- $583.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded214
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.96at 0.223Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
- +$112.53at 0.391France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$105.47at 0.592Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$76.87at 0.398Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$75.11at 0.617Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 19:22 | France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999996 | $30.00 |
| 10-18 19:21 | France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $20.00 |
| 10-18 19:16 | France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9409999492 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 19:06 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 06:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999997 | $34.39 |
| 09-06 15:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.0599999724 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 14:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 14:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 14:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 14:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 14:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 14:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 14:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 13:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.0257229213 | $3.00 |
| 09-06 13:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999857 | $2.00 |