PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AtomicInsanity

0x01567edbbc8576605553cab94f5240580fd62ddc

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$140.2k
Markets traded
363
Open portfolio
$490.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded363
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5710.451$148.83$39.65
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2750.097$100.88$185.37
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2550.229$45.70$5.30
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · No0.2800.255$44.17$4.30
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? · No0.0430.970$38.36+$36.64
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0630.046$26.97$9.30
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0050.012$22.50+$13.12
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0130.009$17.00$10.00
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0100.017$16.50+$6.50
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0120.009$9.50$2.50
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR? · Yes0.0030.021$7.31+$6.29
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0340.015$5.77$6.90
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0310.009$3.33$7.53
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.003$2.50$5.50
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75$0.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 07:42Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.32$18.47
09-09 19:16Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.006$4.80
08-16 19:18Will Rodri join Real Madrid?SELL0.007$2.66
08-16 19:18Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?SELL0.009$1.98
08-13 16:39Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?SELL0.001504125$0.12
08-05 06:10Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?SELL0.0358324416$7.17
07-28 21:39Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?SELL0.002$3.40
07-27 04:08Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.19$3.80
07-20 15:58Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?SELL0.6$60.00
07-19 08:51Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?SELL0.2$20.00
07-02 17:25Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.107$42.80
06-26 18:35Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?SELL0.8804138667$99.05
06-15 18:22Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.011$11.00
06-01 17:26Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5BUY0.52$5.20
05-25 07:07Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?BUY0.123$2.46