0x00fccea2bd84516b72c0061efbb2a14905c1ba02
0x00fccea2bd84516b72c0061efbb2a14905c1ba02
- Realised P&L
- $6.03
- Volume
- $450.96
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $3.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.525 | $2.10 | +$1.10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.735 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.125 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.52at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$8.43at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$5.72at 0.351Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$5.47at 0.361Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$5.03at 0.379Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 10 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 11:59 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:12 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 17:15 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 09:14 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 01:13 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 12:39 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 in September? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 12:38 | Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in September 2026? | BUY | 0.6019998435 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:32 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:11 | Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 10:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.00 |
| 09-23 02:19 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.659999934 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 04:05 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 10:26 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 02:26 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 16:27 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $3.00 |