yyyowza
0x00eac0fe5050f21bfb8a91776116574f744b76b5
- Realised P&L
- $780.67
- Volume
- $26.3k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $535.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.935 | $186.99 | +$13.00 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.996 | $99.60 | +$21.60 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.013 | $62.50 | −$39.95 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.025 | $61.25 | +$4.78 |
| Will the next elected US president be a woman? · No | 0.770 | 0.785 | $39.25 | +$0.75 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.235 | $35.67 | −$17.45 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.033 | $32.50 | +$7.50 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.325 | $16.25 | −$8.75 |
| Will the next elected US president be a woman? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.215 | $1.02 | +$0.17 |
| Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$830.00at 0.862Will Biden finish his term?
- +$128.00at 0.936Will Biden resign during his speech today?
- +$109.76at 0.933Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$67.25at 0.739Was Barron involved in $DJT?
- +$57.90at 0.421Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-25 22:33 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 01-21 21:09 | Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.075 | $75.00 |
| 06-26 11:24 | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 06-26 01:13 | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BUY | 0.87 | $174.00 |
| 06-25 02:38 | Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 02:36 | Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 06-23 03:11 | Was Barron involved in $DJT? | BUY | 0.69 | $17.25 |
| 06-22 03:41 | Nvidia largest company next Friday? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 06-21 00:02 | Is $DJT real? | BUY | 0.020998993 | $0.02 |
| 06-21 00:01 | Did Barron Trump launch $DJT? | BUY | 0.8779992068 | $0.87 |