PolyBot

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Traders

wcabahu

0x008398169a58d41a06e8be5a5aee5a9cf6a6161b

Realised P&L
$29.58
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$278.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.8040.818$67.10+$1.06
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5060.535$52.91+$2.83
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5070.487$50.71$2.01
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7560.789$24.52+$1.05
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3400.345$10.89+$0.16
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.4000.340$10.63$1.88
Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · Yes0.1500.190$9.26+$1.95
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8680.869$9.04+$0.01
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.2600.285$8.90+$0.78
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.3600.360$7.74+$0.00
Will there be between 110m and 115m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? · Yes0.1300.190$3.99+$1.26
Will Miami (FL) make College Football Playoff Semifinals? · Yes0.3300.355$3.78+$0.27
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3370.360$3.75+$0.24
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.1700.155$3.35$0.32
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0900.085$3.30$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 18:55Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.8679999912$9.03
09-08 16:02Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?BUY0.05$1.53
09-08 14:33Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.16$1.70
09-08 14:32Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.5064182599$50.08
09-08 14:30Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.111999997$3.53
09-08 01:53Will Miami (FL) make College Football Playoff Semifinals?BUY0.3299999887$3.51
09-08 01:34Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?BUY0.1499999979$7.31
09-08 00:43Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.4$12.50
09-08 00:40Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.4979999981$15.59
09-08 00:38Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?SELL0.55$23.65
09-08 00:34Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?SELL0.084$3.53
09-08 00:34Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?BUY0.2599999936$8.12
09-07 09:49Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?SELL0.83$77.19
09-07 09:48Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the top song in the US for 2026?SELL0.0057692308$0.60
09-07 09:48Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?BUY0.36$7.74