wcabahu
0x008398169a58d41a06e8be5a5aee5a9cf6a6161b
- Realised P&L
- $29.58
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $278.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.27at 0.412Will Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?
- +$5.84at 0.332Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?
- +$2.76at 0.478Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?
- +$2.01at 0.779Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
- +$0.38at 0.071Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:55 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.8679999912 | $9.03 |
| 09-08 16:02 | Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.53 |
| 09-08 14:33 | Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.70 |
| 09-08 14:32 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5064182599 | $50.08 |
| 09-08 14:30 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.111999997 | $3.53 |
| 09-08 01:53 | Will Miami (FL) make College Football Playoff Semifinals? | BUY | 0.3299999887 | $3.51 |
| 09-08 01:34 | Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999979 | $7.31 |
| 09-08 00:43 | Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4 | $12.50 |
| 09-08 00:40 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4979999981 | $15.59 |
| 09-08 00:38 | Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | SELL | 0.55 | $23.65 |
| 09-08 00:34 | Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.084 | $3.53 |
| 09-08 00:34 | Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.2599999936 | $8.12 |
| 09-07 09:49 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.83 | $77.19 |
| 09-07 09:48 | Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the top song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.0057692308 | $0.60 |
| 09-07 09:48 | Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.74 |