PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x004Ae6db59f39ecFe8Fc28B3DB8acAbFF59DF9E5-1772290128871

0x004ae6db59f39ecfe8fc28b3db8acabff59df9e5

Realised P&L
$48.91
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
277
Open portfolio
$18.88

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded277
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31? · No0.9761.000$7.00+$0.16
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7350.800$4.79+$0.39
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.4670.605$1.81+$0.41
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? · No0.9300.972$0.97+$0.04
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? · Yes0.3200.900$0.90+$0.58
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.7800.885$0.89+$0.10
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1210.075$0.53$0.32
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.3800.240$0.46$0.27
Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election? · Yes0.1400.155$0.39+$0.04
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0080.019$0.35+$0.21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1040.041$0.29$0.46
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes0.2800.095$0.10$0.18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1200.055$0.06$0.07
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.003$0.04$0.03
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31? · Yes0.0600.039$0.04$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 18:54U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.793$3.97
07-26 13:11Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.3$1.80
07-24 17:40Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election?BUY0.14$1.05
07-24 06:20Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.58$3.48
07-23 05:480 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?SELL0.085$0.43
07-19 21:43Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9389999946$10.00
07-17 09:41US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.4$2.40
07-17 09:39Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.995$9.95
07-16 14:13Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?BUY0.58$4.06
07-16 12:17Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?SELL0.93$0.93
07-12 17:17Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?BUY0.95$2.00
07-12 17:17Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?BUY0.95$3.00
07-12 05:40Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31?SELL0.72$2.16
07-10 06:58Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?SELL0.912$0.91
07-08 09:25US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.56$3.36