PolyBot

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Traders

0x004Ae6db59f39ecFe8Fc28B3DB8acAbFF59DF9E5-1772290128871

0x004ae6db59f39ecfe8fc28b3db8acabff59df9e5

Realised P&L
$50.05
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
290
Open portfolio
$16.53

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded290
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? · No0.7100.830$4.98+$0.72
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.8200.825$4.95+$0.03
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? · Opp.0.3900.445$3.11+$0.38
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? · No0.6700.940$0.94+$0.27
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.7800.915$0.92+$0.14
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0080.025$0.45+$0.31
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.1800.260$0.26+$0.08
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1210.115$0.23−$0.01
Will Israel election happen as scheduled? · No0.0490.091$0.18+$0.08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1040.021$0.16−$0.60
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.3800.065$0.12−$0.60
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · Yes0.0400.065$0.07+$0.03
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.003$0.04−$0.03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1200.030$0.03−$0.09
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0600.004$0.03−$0.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 19:06US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?BUY0.994$1.00
09-22 18:26Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?SELL0.187$0.19
07-28 18:54U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.793$3.97
07-26 13:11Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.3$1.80
07-24 17:40Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election?BUY0.14$1.05
07-24 06:20Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.58$3.48
07-23 05:480 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?SELL0.085$0.43
07-19 21:43Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9389999946$10.00
07-17 09:41US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.4$2.40
07-17 09:39Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.995$9.95
07-16 14:13Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?BUY0.58$4.06
07-16 12:17Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?SELL0.93$0.93
07-12 17:17Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?BUY0.95$2.00
07-12 17:17Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?BUY0.95$3.00
07-12 05:40Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31?SELL0.72$2.16