PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x00090E8b4FA8F88dc9C1740E460Dd0F670021D43-1758503238489

0x00090e8b4fa8f88dc9c1740e460dd0f670021d43

Realised P&L
$22.6k
Volume
$3.09M
Markets traded
227
Open portfolio
$69.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded227
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8210.855$50.1k+$2.0k
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.8200.934$4.4k+$542.77
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6600.675$3.0k+$67.50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1570.118$2.8k$897.05
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8300.935$1.9k+$210.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7200.795$1.6k+$150.00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3600.192$1.3k$1.2k
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.6140.935$1.1k+$378.05
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9260.965$964.50+$38.50
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8300.875$775.21+$39.87
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.6920.260$516.95$858.40
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? · No0.9070.970$357.17+$23.20
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9780.999$349.48+$7.17
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.4020.095$190.34$616.04
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0450.034$62.05$20.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-21 02:41Netanyahu out by June 30?SELL0.995$3.7k
06-21 02:41Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.995$8.8k
06-21 02:41Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.995$52.8k
06-21 02:38Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.997$1.1k
06-18 14:14Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.996$15.0k
06-14 18:33Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.6863943688$100.00
06-14 18:18Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.5336575975$41.58
06-14 18:17Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSELL0.5033151326$6.45
06-14 18:16Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.3899999774$5.00
06-06 12:01Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.847$916.52
06-02 10:45Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.773$948.54
06-02 10:44Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.921$184.29
06-01 16:33Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.982$1.3k
05-31 00:51Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.81$2.2k
05-31 00:51Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.904$279.21