Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
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- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-12-31
- Resolves by
- https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.77 | 124 | 124 |
| 0.78 | 28 | 152 |
| 0.80 | 32 | 184 |
| 0.88 | 111 | 295 |
| 0.89 | 186 | 482 |
| 0.92 | 6 | 488 |
| 0.93 | 93 | 581 |
| 0.95 | 10 | 591 |
| 0.97 | 183 | 774 |
| 0.98 | 16 | 791 |
| 0.99 | 65 | 856 |
Spread0.69Mid0.42
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.08 | 13 | 13 |
| 0.07 | 32 | 45 |
| 0.03 | 73 | 118 |
| 0.02 | 285 | 403 |
| 0.01 | 478 | 881 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.92 | 13 | 13 |
| 0.93 | 32 | 45 |
| 0.97 | 73 | 118 |
| 0.98 | 285 | 403 |
| 0.99 | 478 | 881 |
Spread0.69Mid0.58
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.23 | 124 | 124 |
| 0.22 | 28 | 152 |
| 0.20 | 32 | 184 |
| 0.12 | 111 | 295 |
| 0.11 | 186 | 482 |
| 0.08 | 6 | 488 |
| 0.07 | 93 | 581 |
| 0.05 | 10 | 591 |
| 0.03 | 183 | 774 |
| 0.02 | 16 | 791 |
| 0.01 | 65 | 856 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x9f5f61b693e1A457580Bb011DFe1e96e898C6fBD-1761964606250 | Yes | 186.42 |
| estoicc | Yes | 121.95 |
| AJSV | Yes | 44.21 |
| title1 | No | 281.95 |
| balabalababalabala | No | 45.62 |
| darkaurora | No | 25 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:36:51 | SELL | No | 0.47 | 11 | $5.23 |
| 14:36:38 | SELL | No | 0.47 | 9 | $4.16 |
| 14:35:24 | BUY | Yes | 0.46 | 9 | $3.95 |
| 14:35:24 | SELL | Yes | 0.46 | 32 | $14.72 |
| 11:47:02 | SELL | Yes | 0.4622772277 | 101 | $46.69 |
| 11:41:33 | BUY | No | 0.22 | 20 | $4.40 |
| 11:41:03 | BUY | No | 0.52 | 40 | $20.80 |
| 11:40:42 | BUY | No | 0.38 | 20 | $7.60 |
| 11:40:06 | BUY | Yes | 0.3883231707 | 328 | $127.37 |
| 07:21:54 | SELL | Yes | 0.33781 | 20 | $6.76 |
| 07:13:54 | BUY | No | 0.65 | 142 | $92.27 |
| 06:36:00 | SELL | Yes | 0.06 | 20 | $1.20 |
| 06:35:32 | BUY | No | 0.61 | 40 | $24.40 |
| 06:07:48 | BUY | Yes | 0.41 | 40 | $16.40 |
| 05:05:20 | BUY | Yes | 0.4099999969 | 122 | $50.00 |