Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.28. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.24 to 0.30. 4 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.28	265	265
0.29	2,485	2,750
0.30	60	2,810
0.31	161	2,971
0.94	11	2,982
0.95	60	3,042
0.96	100	3,142
0.98	6	3,147
0.99	226	3,373

Spread0.01Mid0.28

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.27	813	813
0.26	2,192	3,006
0.25	83	3,089
0.24	172	3,261
0.13	62	3,322
0.12	20	3,342
0.03	23	3,365
0.02	135	3,500
0.01	233	3,733

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.73	813	813
0.74	2,192	3,006
0.75	83	3,089
0.76	172	3,261
0.87	62	3,322
0.88	20	3,342
0.97	23	3,365
0.98	135	3,500
0.99	233	3,733

Spread0.01Mid0.72

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.72	265	265
0.71	2,485	2,750
0.70	60	2,810
0.69	161	2,971
0.06	11	2,982
0.05	60	3,042
0.04	100	3,142
0.02	6	3,147
0.01	226	3,373

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	40
Scoopdewhoop	Yes	1.02
SmartBoyBilly	No	20.02
LiQwi	No	20
ZhouCD	No	1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:53:54	BUY	Yes	0.24	20	$4.80
21:13:38	SELL	Yes	0.28	19	$5.32
21:09:44	BUY	Yes	0.28	20	$5.60
20:20:21	BUY	Yes	0.18	1	$0.18
20:20:21	BUY	Yes	0.18	19	$3.42