Will Donald Trump publicly insult Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.09. down 0.05 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.07 to 0.28. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.11	11	11
0.12	60	71
0.96	12	83
0.97	16	99
0.98	5	104
0.99	30	134

Spread0.03Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.08	40	40
0.06	20	60
0.04	11	71
0.03	200	271
0.02	47	318
0.01	43	361

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.92	40	40
0.94	20	60
0.96	11	71
0.97	200	271
0.98	47	318
0.99	43	361

Spread0.03Mid0.91

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.89	11	11
0.88	60	71
0.04	12	83
0.03	16	99
0.02	5	104
0.01	30	134

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Numitus1994	Yes	21
Bobishensuan	Yes	9.09
tradetosurvive1	No	20
0x36dAfd0ed99D902F8bDfe9e090ecDc48b053907B-1762688421136	No	9.09
lolzzzlol	No	1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:04:36	BUY	Yes	0.109999989	9	$1.00
20:30:02	SELL	No	0.88	1	$0.88
19:22:04	BUY	Yes	0.1	21	$2.10