PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Will 280 to 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.025. down 0.004 over the period, from 0.029. Range 0.015 to 0.029. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.04833
0.0572730
0.0581545
0.7341357
0.735135192
0.750111303
0.7576309
0.7747316
0.7946323
0.94916339
0.95020359
0.9799368

Spread0.046Mid0.025

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.002106106
0.001173279

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.998106106
0.999173279

Spread0.046Mid0.975

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.95233
0.9432730
0.9421545
0.2661357
0.265135192
0.250111303
0.2436309
0.2267316
0.2066323
0.05116339
0.05020359
0.0219368

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xiaodouziYes99.99
AJSVYes97.98
0x994f…508dYes60
RokokoraccoonYes50
56sdfdsfsYes34.44
JeromePuwellYes34.2
nc3iceibvtvetvbtYes23.74
rocketcryptoYes5
0x462d77764F339fb2408AE33Fabbc843496401725-1778196190140Yes5
Hugin-og-MuninYes5
SasodomYes4
Mojito9Yes3.41
0xa5ef…2966No182.99
James-ClaudeNo65
0x758Edf839EE3C9718Aa8E8CcEDea88726f1D4916-1771087895483No56.58
shazi99999No56
meow-123No23.13
panoliNo20.2
GaujmalietisNo14.85
erFiodenaNo4

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:54:51BUYNo0.99830$29.94
11:19:18BUYNo0.9933610$9.93
01:03:08BUYNo0.9910$9.90
20:55:25BUYNo0.9910$9.90
04:02:54BUYNo0.9956$55.44
07:12:58SELLYes0.0110$0.10
07:12:51BUYNo0.9910$9.90
14:46:37SELLYes0.015$0.05
15:38:30BUYNo0.9925$24.75
18:02:10BUYNo0.9920$20.00
12:11:23SELLNo0.9524$3.55
08:17:01BUYNo0.998$7.92
15:39:59BUYNo0.9623$22.44
14:01:22BUYNo0.95049504957$6.96
12:30:14BUYNo0.957$6.61
12:19:56BUYNo0.957$6.61
11:20:58BUYNo0.958$7.68
22:07:41BUYNo0.954$3.68
05:00:55SELLNo0.555$2.75
05:00:47BUYNo0.955$4.75
04:57:46BUYNo0.955$4.75
19:45:54BUYNo0.964$3.59
19:45:51SELLNo0.706096579525$17.55
21:44:28BUYYes0.254$1.00
19:20:00BUYNo0.823$18.50