Rokokoraccoon
0x2a4879db4f45b6b0c535ebc188fa9ca973eed8f8
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $429.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,385
- Open portfolio
- $31.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,385
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.70at 0.003Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
- +$99.50at 0.005Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
- +$99.40at 0.006Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
- +$99.00at 0.010Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$98.70at 0.003Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:12 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 19:13 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 12:23 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.076 | $3.80 |
| 05-30 15:52 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 20:18 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.80 |
| 05-14 20:00 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.30006 | $30.01 |
| 05-14 17:42 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.2508 | $25.08 |
| 05-14 17:25 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.2803239 | $28.03 |
| 05-14 17:24 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 05-04 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 5? | BUY | 0.0698944 | $6.99 |
| 04-30 19:48 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on April 30? | SELL | 0.6467478189 | $15.57 |
| 04-30 09:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 30? | SELL | 0.989367 | $49.47 |
| 04-30 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.48 |
| 04-29 20:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on April 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.31 |
| 04-29 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on April 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.25 |