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Traders

Rokokoraccoon

0x2a4879db4f45b6b0c535ebc188fa9ca973eed8f8

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$429.1k
Markets traded
3,385
Open portfolio
$31.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,385
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 160 to 189 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? · Yes0.0100.187$9.35+$8.85
Will 190 to 219 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? · Yes0.0100.117$5.88+$5.38
Will fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? · Yes0.0100.100$4.97+$4.47
Will the Bank of Israel hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.029$2.90+$1.90
Will 220 to 249 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? · Yes0.0100.044$2.23+$1.73
Will more than 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? · Yes0.0100.033$1.63+$1.13
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes0.0070.007$1.50+$0.00
Will 280 to 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? · Yes0.0100.025$1.25+$0.75
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes0.0130.007$0.75$0.55
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0130.005$0.55$0.75
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0100.005$0.55$0.45
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? · Yes0.0040.014$0.43+$0.31
Will 250 to 279 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? · Yes0.0100.008$0.40$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:12Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.01$1.00
06-29 19:13Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?BUY0.01$1.00
06-13 12:23Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?BUY0.076$3.80
05-30 15:52Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
05-14 20:18Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?BUY0.006$1.80
05-14 20:00Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?SELL0.30006$30.01
05-14 17:42Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?SELL0.2508$25.08
05-14 17:25Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?SELL0.2803239$28.03
05-14 17:24Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?SELL0.67$67.00
05-04 12:35Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 5?BUY0.0698944$6.99
04-30 19:48Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on April 30?SELL0.6467478189$15.57
04-30 09:57Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 30?SELL0.989367$49.47
04-30 08:46Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 30?SELL0.999$7.48
04-29 20:19Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on April 30?BUY0.001$0.31
04-29 18:21Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on April 30?BUY0.01$0.25
Trader Rokokoraccoon · PolyBot