PolyBot

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Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-13
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.025. down 0.030 over the period, from 0.055. Range 0.001 to 0.488. 138 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.029213213
0.030215428
0.031200628
0.032200828
0.037100928
0.03945973
0.0401401,113
0.049671,180
0.0502301,410
0.051671,477
0.052131,490
0.0701001,590

Spread0.003Mid0.028

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.026700700
0.0255671,267
0.0247672,034
0.0234502,484
0.0229503,434
0.0219544,388
0.0205004,888
0.01484,896
0.0134605,356
0.010125,368
0.008505,418
0.00319,86425,282

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.974700700
0.9755671,267
0.9767672,034
0.9774502,484
0.9789503,434
0.9799544,388
0.9805004,888
0.98684,896
0.9874605,356
0.990125,368
0.992505,418
0.99719,86425,282

Spread0.003Mid0.972

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.971213213
0.970215428
0.969200628
0.968200828
0.963100928
0.96145973
0.9601401,113
0.951671,180
0.9502301,410
0.949671,477
0.948131,490
0.9301001,590

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
wakuwaku3Yes7,120.1
smalltimezzzYes5,636.85
BitgodYes5,496.14
MicheletiberioYes5,000
0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa567f-1763836802268Yes4,335
LinaBell🦊Yes4,000
PoiuztrewqYes3,500
LordYeahYes2,671
LuckyMANNNYes2,216.14
ComradeCatYes2,183.5
Deus118Yes2,000
cool.guideYes2,000
RizhYes2,000
FablurouYes1,600
CaprioDiLeoYes1,328.17
ElonJailYes1,051.2
BrotherinchristYes1,000
Cmp-Gamble-TrashYes975.27
hetaczYes799.92
Kaiji123Yes774.41

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:38:21BUYYes0.027200$5.40
20:31:11SELLYes0.02554$1.36
20:31:11SELLYes0.0258141996246$6.34
20:10:26SELLYes0.026200$5.20
19:06:41BUYYes0.0314331797217$6.82
19:06:21BUYYes0.03479$14.37
18:53:20BUYNo0.975100$97.50
18:47:45BUYYes0.0279999998107$3.00
18:47:26BUYYes0.025993123373$1.89
18:35:32SELLYes0.022200$4.40
18:29:41BUYNo0.9789288569100$97.97
18:00:17BUYYes0.0208424658730$15.22
17:56:00BUYYes0.019296$5.62
17:55:14BUYYes0.019200$3.80
17:54:56BUYYes0.019200$3.80
17:54:50BUYYes0.019265$5.04
17:54:26BUYYes0.02007658852,644$53.08
17:47:44SELLYes0.015200$3.00
17:42:06SELLYes0.016120$1.92
17:41:41SELLYes0.016200$3.20
17:32:35SELLYes0.019100$1.90
17:31:54SELLYes0.00567695412,724$72.23
17:26:30BUYNo0.9810$9.81
17:21:57SELLYes0.021101$2.12
17:09:05SELLYes0.023192$4.42