Cmp-Gamble-Trash
0xf37bd93206203525a515c6863e60eaa7d9154eda
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $926.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,848
- Open portfolio
- $19.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,848
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$900.68at 0.103Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 20-27?
- +$297.09at 0.009Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$117.28at 0.020Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 2)
- +$105.70at 0.071Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
- +$105.56at 0.281Will Elon tweet 550 or more times Nov 22-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 11:21 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 09-27 22:26 | Will CSD Mixco vs. Antigua GFC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.015147212 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:38 | Will Antigua GFC win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.026 | $2.60 |
| 09-27 21:37 | Will CSD Mixco vs. Antigua GFC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 20:42 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.40 |
| 09-27 20:04 | Houston Astros vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 20:04 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.1099999971 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 20:03 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $4.00 |
| 09-27 20:02 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $2.20 |
| 09-27 13:34 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:25 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.058 | $0.76 |
| 09-27 12:25 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:24 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.38 |
| 09-27 12:24 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.024 | $1.45 |
| 09-27 12:24 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |