PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-07
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.001. down 0.025 over the period, from 0.025. Range 0.001 to 0.025. 133 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00119,46919,469
0.00213019,599
0.00310019,699
0.004519,704
0.0054,26123,965
0.00630624,271
0.00760024,871
0.0091024,881
0.0101,43726,318
0.01215626,474
0.01597927,452
0.01940027,852

SpreadMid

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

SpreadMid

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99919,46919,469
0.99813019,599
0.99710019,699
0.996519,704
0.9954,26123,965
0.99430624,271
0.99360024,871
0.9911024,881
0.9901,43726,318
0.98815626,474
0.98597927,452
0.98140027,852

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
alohaaYes30,000
lox97Yes22,295.66
0xaea825a7eaafa49b59b61af8f376923dc1e4ffYes16,031.89
smalltimezzzYes10,413.47
LinaBell🦊Yes6,111
fghsrthrhrshrsthYes5,000
PrexpectYes4,000
BrotherinchristYes3,851.14
Kaiji123Yes3,172
Mac-GyverYes2,020
tvqcgfncqgvhYes1,757
shotsrYes1,600
just-for-wYes1,255
BitgodYes1,053.01
labistiiiaYes1,000
HappyAlphaYes1,000
ThreepeeoYes950
16DdE8A50eb38D7EAd77638f8Yes950
Kalkay11Yes917.37
Romeo005Yes777

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
10:54:53SELLNo0.9991,020$1018.98
05:41:00BUYNo0.9998$8.04
05:39:54BUYNo0.9999$9.32
05:39:50BUYNo0.9999$9.32
05:39:42BUYNo0.9999$9.32
05:39:35BUYNo0.9999$9.32
05:39:29BUYNo0.9999$9.32
05:39:26BUYNo0.9999$9.32
05:38:23SELLYes0.001418$0.42
05:38:14SELLYes0.0011,538$1.54
05:16:09BUYNo0.9996$5.49
05:01:32BUYNo0.999200$199.80
03:06:36SELLYes0.0025$0.01
02:51:15SELLYes0.0026,500$13.00
02:37:20BUYNo0.9987$7.39
02:37:14BUYNo0.9987$7.39
02:37:06BUYNo0.9987$7.39
02:37:02BUYNo0.9987$7.39
02:36:56BUYNo0.9987$7.39
02:36:48BUYNo0.9987$7.39
00:59:08BUYYes0.003400$1.20
00:51:03SELLYes0.00260$0.12
00:41:56BUYYes0.003333$1.00
22:50:23BUYYes0.004418$1.67
22:36:32BUYNo0.997100$99.70