Kalkay11
0x6a1b1ad80fcf64d2d3c1fab082c558b120befbbd
- Realised P&L
- $5.7k
- Volume
- $6.00M
- Markets traded
- 1,202
- Open portfolio
- $33.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,202
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$585.93at 0.549Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
- +$491.05at 0.016Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
- +$334.12at 0.005Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
- +$264.81at 0.001Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
- +$239.85at 0.282Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 04:33 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.0051557225 | $6.79 |
| 09-23 04:32 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.1939683791 | $40.36 |
| 09-23 03:58 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.2089812101 | $43.49 |
| 09-23 03:57 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.0894415 | $35.78 |
| 09-23 01:48 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $3.20 |
| 09-23 01:45 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.01197 | $3.59 |
| 09-23 01:07 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.017 | $5.78 |
| 09-23 00:43 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.028925 | $5.79 |
| 09-23 00:42 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $4.20 |
| 09-22 23:59 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $2.16 |
| 09-22 22:56 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 22:35 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.1855217 | $18.55 |
| 09-22 22:24 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 22:23 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 22:09 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.0211966667 | $12.72 |