PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

just-for-w

0x831d8fb6ea69b27959bfb9d444cfe7baea273893

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$780.4k
Markets traded
17,677
Open portfolio
$226.49

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17,677
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 18? · Yes0.0131.000$14.99+$14.79
Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on September 18? · Yes0.0130.500$7.50+$7.30
Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on September 18? · Yes0.0130.495$7.42+$7.22
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on September 18? · Yes0.0130.495$7.42+$7.22
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on September 18? · Yes0.0130.495$7.42+$7.22
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on September 18? · Yes0.0130.495$7.42+$7.22
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on September 18? · Yes0.0130.495$7.42+$7.22
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on September 18? · Yes0.0130.495$7.42+$7.22
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on September 18? · Yes0.0130.490$7.35+$7.15
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on September 18? · Yes0.0130.490$7.35+$7.15
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on September 18? · Yes0.0130.485$7.28+$7.08
Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on September 18? · Yes0.0130.480$7.20+$7.00
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on September 18? · Yes0.0130.480$7.20+$7.00
Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on September 18? · Yes0.0130.480$7.20+$7.00
Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on September 18? · Yes0.0130.475$7.13+$6.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 00:28Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 25?BUY0.06$1.18
08-22 22:08Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 23?BUY0.05$1.18
08-18 10:14Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 19?BUY0.03$0.45
08-17 04:07Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 18?BUY0.02$1.14
08-16 21:58Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 18?BUY0.06$1.18
08-16 07:42Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 17?BUY0.04$1.11
08-16 04:44Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 16?BUY0.02$1.14
08-15 22:01Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 16?BUY0.01$0.29
08-13 19:42Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?BUY0.05$1.18
08-11 19:51Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 13?BUY0.04$1.17
08-11 07:02Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?BUY0.02$1.14
08-11 05:54Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 12?BUY0.05$1.18
08-11 02:59Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 12?BUY0.02$1.14
08-10 08:01Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on August 12?BUY0.02$0.94
08-10 01:28Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 10?BUY0.05$1.18