PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

just-for-w

0x831d8fb6ea69b27959bfb9d444cfe7baea273893

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$780.3k
Markets traded
17,662
Open portfolio
$250.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17,662
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration5.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 00:28Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 25?BUY0.06$1.18
08-22 22:08Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 23?BUY0.05$1.18
08-18 10:14Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 19?BUY0.03$0.45
08-17 04:07Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 18?BUY0.02$1.14
08-16 21:58Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 18?BUY0.06$1.18
08-16 07:42Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 17?BUY0.04$1.11
08-16 04:44Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 16?BUY0.02$1.14
08-15 22:01Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 16?BUY0.01$0.29
08-13 19:42Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?BUY0.05$1.18
08-11 19:51Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 13?BUY0.04$1.17
08-11 07:02Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?BUY0.02$1.14
08-11 05:54Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 12?BUY0.05$1.18
08-11 02:59Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 12?BUY0.02$1.14
08-10 08:01Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on August 12?BUY0.02$0.94
08-10 01:28Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 10?BUY0.05$1.18