Will the biggest earthquake on October 21, 2026 be under 5.3?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-10-22
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.15. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.14 to 0.17. 39 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	272	272
0.17	194	465
0.18	60	525
0.20	134	659
0.21	40	699
0.22	165	864
0.23	9	874
0.24	59	933
0.26	100	1,033
0.27	100	1,133
0.28	20	1,153
0.38	100	1,253

Spread0.02Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	542	542
0.13	20	562
0.12	60	622
0.07	100	722
0.06	20	742
0.03	202	944
0.02	30	974
0.01	5	979

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	542	542
0.87	20	562
0.88	60	622
0.93	100	722
0.94	20	742
0.97	202	944
0.98	30	974
0.99	5	979

Spread0.02Mid0.85

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	272	272
0.83	194	465
0.82	60	525
0.80	134	659
0.79	40	699
0.78	165	864
0.77	9	874
0.76	59	933
0.74	100	1,033
0.73	100	1,133
0.72	20	1,153
0.62	100	1,253

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x3ff7…2fa2	Yes	30
helicobite	No	20
a5533	No	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
05:21:56	SELL	Yes	0.14	30	$4.20
05:15:27	SELL	No	0.84	20	$16.80
05:15:24	BUY	Yes	0.16	20	$3.20
05:15:23	BUY	Yes	0.16	30	$4.80
04:12:23	SELL	Yes	0.01	5	$0.05
04:11:12	BUY	Yes	0.99	5	$4.95