pipe17
0xffebb68d667e2ab641ab0d07ad19f3c92d00ebcd
- Realised P&L
- $666.72
- Volume
- $64.3k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $5.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.345 | 0.585 | $2.7k | +$1.1k |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1? · No | 0.949 | 1.000 | $519.74 | +$26.08 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · No | 0.847 | 0.841 | $504.30 | −$3.90 |
| Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? · No | 0.954 | 0.949 | $502.70 | −$2.91 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.745 | $484.25 | −$16.25 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.807 | $403.75 | −$21.25 |
| Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31? · No | 0.935 | 0.968 | $358.94 | +$11.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.13at 0.932Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$99.70at 0.944Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$76.85at 0.885Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$70.20at 0.944Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$63.10at 0.885LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 21:29 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.4293453478 | $200.36 |
| 10-17 19:37 | LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | BUY | 0.88 | $484.00 |
| 10-17 00:03 | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31? | BUY | 0.9426 | $94.26 |
| 10-17 00:00 | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31? | BUY | 0.9415 | $188.30 |
| 10-16 23:58 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.9493403846 | $493.66 |
| 10-12 15:34 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.847 | $508.20 |
| 10-12 15:19 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $500.50 |
| 10-12 15:17 | Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.954 | $505.62 |
| 10-12 15:16 | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31? | BUY | 0.907 | $64.40 |
| 10-05 00:22 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8430023532 | $474.73 |
| 10-05 00:22 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $477.91 |
| 10-05 00:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8489999941 | $80.59 |
| 10-05 00:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.9k |
| 10-05 00:16 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | SELL | 0.9621418666 | $349.68 |
| 10-05 00:16 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $394.80 |