PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lcz

0xffe792b970917313a9f0ab46612812fdfd9189bf

Realised P&L
$12.9k
Volume
$1.03M
Markets traded
340
Open portfolio
$68.42

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded340
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27? · Yes0.3600.545$27.25+$9.25
Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? · Yes0.2480.055$21.06−$74.02
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.0050.018$10.32+$7.30
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0410.021$5.13−$5.12
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? · Yes0.3600.027$1.62−$19.98
Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.0040.004$1.47+$0.00
Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.0080.006$0.83−$0.19
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2690.015$0.75−$13.23
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.7610.000$0.00−$83.70
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$9.57
Dani Olmo: 1+ goals · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$45.48
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$9.57
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$10.00
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$133.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 00:51Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?BUY0.36$18.00
11-01 00:01U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?BUY0.4780217021$112.34
10-28 20:44Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.35$21.00
10-28 04:41Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?BUY0.39$7.80
10-28 04:40Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?BUY0.39$66.30
10-28 04:36Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?BUY0.32$32.00
10-28 04:36Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?BUY0.32$16.00
10-28 04:36Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?BUY0.3042857143$10.65
10-26 14:10Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?SELL0.28$2.80
10-26 13:55Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.088$5.28
10-26 00:06Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?BUY0.35$42.00
10-26 00:05Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?BUY0.35$41.30
10-25 23:20Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?BUY0.31$77.50
10-25 21:43Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 1 Real Madrid CF?SELL0.43$43.00
10-25 20:32Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?BUY0.12$12.00