PolyBot

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Traders

0xffd3E7102CA12796beAD452B06117e2100D27C75-1761894446910

0xffd3e7102ca12796bead452b06117e2100d27c75

Realised P&L
$11.2k
Volume
$176.0k
Markets traded
111
Open portfolio
$32.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded111
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.6940.820$16.1k+$2.5k
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.6980.875$6.0k+$1.2k
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? · Yes0.7670.945$4.0k+$748.61
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? · No0.7400.755$2.6k+$52.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.6730.695$1.9k+$59.68
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7050.730$1.6k+$52.20
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? · No0.6590.700$637.69+$37.69
Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026? · No0.8090.745$92.07−$7.93
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 12? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET · Up0.2110.000$0.00−$2.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Down0.0430.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET · Up0.0640.000$0.00−$1.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.6990.000$0.00−$650.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Up0.3570.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 15:10US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?BUY0.7399999999$786.00
11-01 14:46Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.6760974806$800.00
11-01 12:32US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?BUY0.7399999999$679.00
11-01 12:30Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?BUY0.658627277$600.00
11-01 12:28Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.6699999997$1000.00
11-01 12:09US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?BUY0.7399999996$1000.00
11-01 12:04Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?BUY0.8091300672$100.00
11-01 11:23US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?BUY0.7399999988$100.00
10-23 15:22NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6381419022$1.4k
10-23 15:21US x Cuba military clash in 2026?SELL0.8522644142$1.4k
10-23 07:03NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8299999999$1.3k
10-22 00:03Cuban regime falls in 2026?SELL0.9$1.3k
10-16 01:43US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?BUY0.7675033025$3.2k
10-04 04:21Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.73$100.00
10-03 12:50Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.766975729$100.00