0xffd3E7102CA12796beAD452B06117e2100D27C75-1761894446910
0xffd3e7102ca12796bead452b06117e2100d27c75
- Realised P&L
- $11.2k
- Volume
- $176.0k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $32.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.0kat 0.606Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
- +$2.0kat 0.814Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$1.2kat 0.717Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
- +$547.77at 0.829US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
- +$511.11at 0.659Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:10 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | BUY | 0.7399999999 | $786.00 |
| 11-01 14:46 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.6760974806 | $800.00 |
| 11-01 12:32 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | BUY | 0.7399999999 | $679.00 |
| 11-01 12:30 | Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.658627277 | $600.00 |
| 11-01 12:28 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.6699999997 | $1000.00 |
| 11-01 12:09 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | BUY | 0.7399999996 | $1000.00 |
| 11-01 12:04 | Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8091300672 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 11:23 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |
| 10-23 15:22 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6381419022 | $1.4k |
| 10-23 15:21 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | SELL | 0.8522644142 | $1.4k |
| 10-23 07:03 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999999 | $1.3k |
| 10-22 00:03 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.3k |
| 10-16 01:43 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.7675033025 | $3.2k |
| 10-04 04:21 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 12:50 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.766975729 | $100.00 |