PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

beleberda

0xffc8ac52d186955facc76292a4527655b7fefe17

Realised P&L
$-16.45
Volume
$131.24
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$18.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration67.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · No0.4030.390$5.81$0.19
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5300.465$4.39$0.61
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.2100.235$3.36+$0.36
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3700.345$2.80$0.20
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 27, 2026? · Yes0.6200.695$2.24+$0.24
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner · Team Falcons0.2200.000$0.00$1.00
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Nigma Galaxy0.3500.000$0.00$1.50
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner · TEAM VISION0.5320.000$0.00$6.50
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Team Liquid0.5500.000$0.00$15.00
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Team Spirit0.2500.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 12:21Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-08 11:36Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?BUY0.4411764446$5.00
09-08 11:27Will Russia target Kyiv on September 27, 2026?BUY0.6199998946$2.00
09-08 10:57Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.5299999587$5.00
09-08 10:50Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?BUY0.2099999895$3.00
08-22 15:21Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.999$3.44
08-22 15:20Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsSELL0.999$6.48
08-22 14:44Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.5799999014$2.00
08-22 14:40Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.7699999877$5.00
08-22 11:02Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.48$1.50
08-22 10:31Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.549999956$5.00
08-21 13:00Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.25$1.00
08-21 08:16Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.3499998717$1.50
08-20 15:15Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.3699999272$3.00
08-20 15:08Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.2199998548$1.00