manzanazeta
0xffaecc6cc4c1d9514c84c5e0a73522decc6dadec
- Realised P&L
- $-64.46
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $34.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No | 0.690 | 0.825 | $15.54 | +$2.54 |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.056 | $6.61 | −$3.39 |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.030 | $6.29 | −$3.71 |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.018 | $2.86 | −$7.14 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.031 | $2.82 | −$7.18 |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.004 | $0.82 | −$14.18 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:22 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0611136547 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 18:22 | Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0839024387 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 00:44 | Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0484668644 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 00:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 00:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.6899999565 | $13.00 |
| 08-29 00:06 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.064 | $15.00 |
| 08-29 00:04 | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 00:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |