0xfFaCd701B7b6Dc7F029CDF5264CCE5a06ab8BBf5-1771225579324
0xffacd701b7b6dc7f029cdf5264cce5a06ab8bbf5
- Realised P&L
- $148.70
- Volume
- $66.8k
- Markets traded
- 526
- Open portfolio
- $334.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded526
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.900 | $198.32 | +$11.02 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.970 | $104.71 | +$10.75 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.706 | 0.230 | $31.77 | −$65.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$279.78at 0.747Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$207.75at 0.740Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
- +$174.00at 0.170Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
- +$162.97at 0.462Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
- +$161.47at 0.734Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 02:07 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $93.96 |
| 09-03 02:06 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $33.54 |
| 09-02 14:16 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $58.24 |
| 09-02 14:16 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $0.02 |
| 09-02 14:13 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $193.91 |
| 09-01 04:32 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $374.60 |
| 08-07 04:38 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $198.05 |
| 07-31 17:06 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $84.05 |
| 07-08 04:33 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $522.72 |
| 07-08 04:32 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $526.47 |
| 07-04 06:35 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7? | BUY | 0.96 | $480.00 |
| 07-04 06:35 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7? | BUY | 0.95 | $25.65 |
| 07-04 06:34 | Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? | SELL | 0.993 | $506.83 |
| 07-03 02:26 | Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? | BUY | 0.944 | $9.44 |
| 07-03 02:26 | Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? | BUY | 0.944 | $283.20 |