0xff871c15cda4f8f101546e95f31eeb69ead80cc8
0xff871c15cda4f8f101546e95f31eeb69ead80cc8
- Realised P&L
- $-7.43
- Volume
- $174.86
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $6.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.590 | 0.855 | $3.32 | +$1.03 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.825 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6? · Down | 0.410 | 0.420 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.380 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.14at 0.247Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$2.86at 0.450Grok 4.6 released by August 11, 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.53at 0.480Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.550Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 04:35 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:29 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:32 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:44 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:59 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 17:45 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:07 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 01:19 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:12 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:05 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:55 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:56 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |