0xFF83DaC9B0E6e379354B210b51fDE64f4799726e-1781967417060
0xff83dac9b0e6e379354b210b51fde64f4799726e
- Realised P&L
- $-643.14
- Volume
- $126.1k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$205.06at 0.197LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner
- +$146.63at 0.673Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$127.34at 0.454Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
- +$99.65at 0.669Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
- +$92.90at 0.198Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 01:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.51 |
| 09-18 01:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.48 |
| 09-18 00:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9989999511 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 00:28 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.2509944312 | $12.62 |
| 09-18 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0984773394 | $6.04 |
| 09-18 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.77 | $6.93 |
| 09-18 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.506244 | $25.31 |
| 09-18 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 09-17 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.4213502565 | $15.60 |
| 09-17 22:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 09-17 21:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.18 | $14.11 |
| 09-17 21:13 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.599999994 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 20:13 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.2208939746 | $12.35 |