PolyBot

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Traders

0xFF83DaC9B0E6e379354B210b51fDE64f4799726e-1781967417060

0xff83dac9b0e6e379354b210b51fde64f4799726e

Realised P&L
$-643.14
Volume
$126.1k
Markets traded
120
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded120
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4020.555$613.83+$169.22
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7800.841$215.46+$15.46
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.9220.954$155.12+$5.12
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7390.765$103.45+$3.45
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5420.502$59.30$4.66
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2600.305$58.65+$8.65
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 19? · No0.8900.870$39.10$0.90
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3000.305$35.99+$0.59
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 17? · No0.7671.000$26.06+$6.06
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 18? · No0.8430.705$25.08$4.92
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 19? · No0.7400.885$23.92+$3.92
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 18? · No0.8400.950$22.63+$2.63
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19? · Yes0.5100.575$22.55+$2.55
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 18? · No0.5400.595$22.04+$2.04
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 19? · No0.8900.955$21.46+$1.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 01:08Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on September 18?SELL0.999$14.51
09-18 01:02Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on September 18?SELL0.998$5.48
09-18 00:57Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on September 18?BUY0.9989999511$20.00
09-18 00:28Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18?SELL0.2509944312$12.62
09-18 00:15Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.0984773394$6.04
09-18 00:15Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.6099999927$20.00
09-18 00:15Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19?BUY0.77$6.93
09-18 00:15Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19?SELL0.506244$25.31
09-18 00:15Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.8899999996$20.00
09-18 00:14Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 19?SELL0.28$1.40
09-17 22:49Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?SELL0.4213502565$15.60
09-17 22:20Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18?SELL0.28$2.80
09-17 21:18Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 19?SELL0.18$14.11
09-17 21:13Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19?BUY0.599999994$20.00
09-17 20:13Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 18?SELL0.2208939746$12.35