PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Gmoas

0xff76dd29f8376dfdaac3aa470467d6ca38c59c05

Realised P&L
$8.7k
Volume
$2.13M
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$619.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will STRC hit $100 by November 30? · No0.1950.350$619.63+$273.74
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$199.96
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00−$799.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? · Yes0.3160.000$0.00−$315.86
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$82.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$225.16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.8k
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$227.37
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 18-24? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$127.50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.2970.000$0.00−$891.00
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$243.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 10:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.96$15.0k
10-26 09:59Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.96$16.2k
10-26 09:44Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.96$84.5k
10-26 09:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.04$100.00
10-25 23:16Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.108$500.00
10-25 23:14Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1339999999$300.00
10-25 22:29Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.297$891.00
10-24 18:21Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?SELL0.0423989847$68.07
10-24 15:18Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?SELL0.086$24.51
10-23 23:04Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?BUY0.03521188$352.12
10-20 22:14Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?SELL0.2205719105$1.3k
10-16 20:11Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?BUY0.66$137.64
10-16 17:12Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?BUY0.1817120454$10.89
10-16 16:04Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?BUY0.1999823721$397.06
10-16 16:02Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?BUY0.2486579302$114.42