Gmoas
0xff76dd29f8376dfdaac3aa470467d6ca38c59c05
- Realised P&L
- $8.7k
- Volume
- $2.13M
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $619.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.0kat 0.090Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?
- +$11.6kat 0.745Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$11.5kat 0.900Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$9.3kat 0.942Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$5.4kat 0.959US government shutdown by October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 10:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.96 | $15.0k |
| 10-26 09:59 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.96 | $16.2k |
| 10-26 09:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.96 | $84.5k |
| 10-26 09:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.04 | $100.00 |
| 10-25 23:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.108 | $500.00 |
| 10-25 23:14 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1339999999 | $300.00 |
| 10-25 22:29 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.297 | $891.00 |
| 10-24 18:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25? | SELL | 0.0423989847 | $68.07 |
| 10-24 15:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25? | SELL | 0.086 | $24.51 |
| 10-23 23:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.03521188 | $352.12 |
| 10-20 22:14 | Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | SELL | 0.2205719105 | $1.3k |
| 10-16 20:11 | Will STRC hit $100 by October 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $137.64 |
| 10-16 17:12 | Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | BUY | 0.1817120454 | $10.89 |
| 10-16 16:04 | Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | BUY | 0.1999823721 | $397.06 |
| 10-16 16:02 | Will STRC hit $100 by November 30? | BUY | 0.2486579302 | $114.42 |