SheilaFreeman2342
0xff74fa671c1a106b0e9ab79bba50f3b1081024f0
- Realised P&L
- $-648.02
- Volume
- $225.5k
- Markets traded
- 233
- Open portfolio
- $271.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded233
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on October 31? · Yes | 0.910 | 1.000 | $200.00 | +$18.00 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic | 0.650 | 0.978 | $58.68 | +$19.68 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.145 | $5.66 | −$8.78 |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.040 | $4.50 | −$11.46 |
| Rippling IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.065 | $2.46 | −$12.31 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.034 | $0.20 | −$2.80 |
| Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$230.01at 0.830Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
- +$180.95at 0.230Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces
- +$157.68at 0.160Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
- +$130.50at 0.440Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22?
- +$128.59at 0.260Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 00:57 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on October 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |
| 04-11 10:07 | Will Twice release a song in 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $7.36 |
| 04-09 09:59 | Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30? | SELL | 0.84 | $105.84 |
| 04-09 09:56 | Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30? | SELL | 0.84 | $144.48 |
| 04-07 22:55 | Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30? | BUY | 0.81 | $241.38 |
| 03-13 08:15 | Will "Ukraine" be said at the Oscars? | SELL | 0.51 | $228.99 |
| 03-12 19:31 | Will "Ukraine" be said at the Oscars? | BUY | 0.4798898678 | $217.87 |
| 03-11 02:57 | Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $81.51 |
| 03-11 02:51 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $51.48 |
| 03-07 02:27 | Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $115.83 |
| 03-06 05:24 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $47.52 |
| 02-26 10:55 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 02-25 00:23 | Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.83 | $1.1k |
| 02-24 23:47 | Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | SELL | 0.989 | $23.74 |
| 02-24 23:29 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $143.59 |