0xff6fd5464df79838e1a438658fbb536d823532b3
0xff6fd5464df79838e1a438658fbb536d823532b3
- Realised P&L
- $-564.59
- Volume
- $24.7k
- Markets traded
- 174
- Open portfolio
- $54.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded174
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.945 | $28.90 | −$0.15 |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.049 | $19.76 | −$14.06 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.359 | 0.135 | $6.17 | −$10.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.67at 0.792Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$16.15at 0.235Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
- +$14.01at 0.021Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
- +$11.37at 0.832Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?
- +$10.36at 0.547England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:11 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $29.04 |
| 11-01 07:44 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $29.10 |
| 10-31 12:12 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $29.10 |
| 10-31 12:12 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.94 | $28.17 |
| 10-31 12:11 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | SELL | 0.996 | $29.90 |
| 10-30 12:08 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.9878334621 | $29.66 |
| 10-29 15:34 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9399999987 | $28.18 |
| 10-28 14:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9529999735 | $29.10 |
| 10-28 14:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.952 | $29.47 |
| 10-27 13:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9399999994 | $29.10 |
| 10-27 06:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.937 | $29.64 |
| 10-26 18:46 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9199999937 | $29.10 |
| 10-25 17:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.7799999706 | $4.77 |
| 10-25 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999901 | $4.66 |
| 10-25 17:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $5.23 |