PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xff6fd5464df79838e1a438658fbb536d823532b3

Realised P&L
$-388.79
Volume
$22.0k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$56.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2510.075$16.61$38.86
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? · Yes0.1580.065$11.95$17.02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.9871.000$9.82+$0.12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4700.345$8.49$3.08
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · Yes0.0690.025$4.26$7.33
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8000.660$3.94$0.84
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · Yes0.2200.024$1.22$10.20
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4250.035$0.38$4.32
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5 · Over0.7700.000$0.00$9.58
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$11.56
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5 · Over0.1100.000$0.00$9.25
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$8.26
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$3.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Down0.8310.000$0.00$14.16
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6420.000$0.00$9.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 15:17Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.8599999928$9.49
08-01 17:18Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.8899999982$9.63
07-31 18:06Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.6699999921$5.96
07-31 07:41Dogecoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.7799999706$4.77
07-26 18:36Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.8313750608$14.16
07-26 18:34Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.99$5.03
07-26 12:10Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY0.01$1.08
07-26 12:09Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY0.9616464986$9.67
07-19 19:31Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5BUY0.8549999993$38.37
07-19 04:31Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5BUY0.6924999934$31.75
07-19 04:29Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5399999749$9.47
07-18 14:04France vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.6899999905$18.18
07-18 13:59Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.99$18.83
07-18 06:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?SELL0.998$9.68
07-17 11:47Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETBUY0.8$20.42