lanis
0xff696424a14c2441b51a036c765d677c35170efe
- Realised P&L
- $-285.60
- Volume
- $33.9k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $4.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$164.13at 0.369Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$143.70at 0.551Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$139.08at 0.550Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$134.40at 0.790Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$134.00at 0.180Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 15:03 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.84 |
| 10-30 12:22 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 10-30 12:22 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 10-30 12:21 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 10-30 08:08 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.72 | $36.00 |
| 10-30 08:07 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | BUY | 0.6 | $36.00 |
| 10-30 08:06 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | SELL | 0.28 | $16.80 |
| 10-30 08:06 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? | SELL | 0.79 | $39.50 |
| 10-30 08:06 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | SELL | 0.4 | $16.00 |
| 10-29 12:16 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? | BUY | 0.79 | $23.70 |
| 10-29 12:15 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.35 | $21.00 |
| 10-29 12:15 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | BUY | 0.48 | $12.72 |
| 08-23 08:52 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 08-22 17:40 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2399142532 | $20.00 |
| 08-22 17:39 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3099999926 | $25.00 |