PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lanis

0xff696424a14c2441b51a036c765d677c35170efe

Realised P&L
$-285.60
Volume
$33.9k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$4.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.0890.069$4.11−$1.23
Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$18.00
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale? · Yes0.3270.000$0.00−$9.31
alon called coin FDV above $1M one day after the call? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$56.00
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner · Nigma Galaxy0.3500.000$0.00−$5.00
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) · Steve Garcia0.4500.000$0.00−$20.00
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale? · Yes0.2020.000$0.00−$9.50
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.3100.000$0.00−$25.00
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$20.00
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner · Team Liquid0.5300.000$0.00−$15.00
Over $10M committed to the RipCars public sale? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$30.00
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? · Yes0.6540.000$0.00−$128.37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$68.00
Over $200M committed to the Printr public sale? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$4.29
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? · No0.1140.000$0.00−$24.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 15:03Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.48$2.84
10-30 12:22Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.65$6.50
10-30 12:22Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.44$4.40
10-30 12:21Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?BUY0.19$1.90
10-30 08:08Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.72$36.00
10-30 08:07Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.6$36.00
10-30 08:06Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?SELL0.28$16.80
10-30 08:06Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?SELL0.79$39.50
10-30 08:06Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?SELL0.4$16.00
10-29 12:16Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?BUY0.79$23.70
10-29 12:15Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.35$21.00
10-29 12:15Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.48$12.72
08-23 08:52Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.03$3.00
08-22 17:40Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2399142532$20.00
08-22 17:39Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.3099999926$25.00