PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xFf61d952C84a435C43548C993fE7Fa7E7Cbc0351-1788790410401

0xff61d952c84a435c43548c993fe7fa7e7cbc0351

Realised P&L
$0.00
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$143.53

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.095$41.80−$33.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? · Yes0.4600.515$11.33+$1.21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027? · Yes0.3800.410$11.07+$0.81
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3100.335$10.72+$0.80
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0250.026$10.60+$0.60
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4900.530$10.60+$0.80
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? · Yes0.2200.230$10.58+$0.46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? · Yes0.2600.275$10.45+$0.57
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.0600.055$9.35−$0.85
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.135$8.91−$0.99
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.0800.065$8.13−$1.88
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00−$75.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 10:00Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?BUY0.22$10.12
10-16 10:00Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$9.90
09-24 13:01Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$74.80
09-24 13:00Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.05$35.00