0xd8b49e9e99ad4783DC1285ED6B01444a3DD72Fff-1770172889748
0xff579f7d61671fbbbec65fbef000a96e1913a383
- Realised P&L
- $134.21
- Volume
- $21.6k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $16.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.985 | 0.985 | $9.3k | −$8.77 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.950 | 0.954 | $5.6k | +$22.06 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.951 | 0.957 | $1.9k | +$10.82 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.355 | $10.94 | +$1.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.68at 0.870Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
- +$29.04at 0.332Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 03:04 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.31 | $9.55 |
| 07-23 17:09 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.986 | $4.0k |
| 07-23 17:08 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.985 | $1.8k |
| 07-23 16:57 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.951 | $1.4k |
| 07-23 16:57 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.1k |
| 07-23 16:57 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.949 | $1.3k |
| 07-23 16:57 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.948 | $747.97 |
| 07-23 16:44 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.985 | $3.6k |
| 07-22 16:15 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? | SELL | 0.62 | $62.56 |
| 07-20 09:58 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.74 |
| 07-20 09:27 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.951 | $724.71 |
| 07-20 09:21 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.8k |
| 07-20 09:18 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.33 | $26.27 |
| 07-20 09:18 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 07-16 06:20 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.96 |