0xd8b49e9e99ad4783DC1285ED6B01444a3DD72Fff-1770172889748
0xff579f7d61671fbbbec65fbef000a96e1913a383
- Realised P&L
- $502.47
- Volume
- $66.8k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $21.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.68at 0.870Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
- +$57.41at 0.426Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
- +$50.72at 0.308Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?
- +$46.19at 0.952Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$32.21at 0.976Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.4509803727 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.6531484531 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 14:35 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.3921568627 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 14:42 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9850667744 | $940.00 |
| 09-27 14:41 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.0k |
| 09-27 14:37 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.988 | $2.8k |
| 09-25 02:58 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | BUY | 0.1187601018 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 02:46 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9594220905 | $103.63 |
| 09-10 05:43 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.8819999815 | $39.00 |
| 09-09 17:38 | Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 10:46 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $15.00 |
| 09-09 03:06 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $30.00 |
| 09-09 03:06 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $76.66 |
| 09-04 03:15 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9753028332 | $2.8k |
| 09-04 03:13 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.985 | $2.8k |